A bond's duration tells you roughly how much its price moves when rates move: a duration of 8 means about an 8% loss if yields rise one point. It's what surprised bondholders in 2022.
Duration's estimate against the bond's actual repriced value. The gap is convexity, which cushions losses and adds to gains.
| Yield change | New yield | Actual price change | Duration estimate | Your gain or loss |
|---|